Arkansas St
W-L: ( 4- 4) PR = 79.5108Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 905 A Memphis ( 7- 2, 86.7) 24- 35 912 H West Georgia 52- 7 919 A TCU ( 4- 4, 87.3) 7- 31 926 H Kennesaw St ( 2- 6, 79.6) 17- 14 1003 A Louisiana ( 5- 4, 83.5) 20- 23 1008 H So. Alabama ( 4- 4, 80.1) 49- 56 1017 A So. Miss ( 3- 5, 75.0) 23- 13 1024 H Georgia St ( 4- 4, 79.3) 38- 32 1107 H UL Monroe ( 1- 7, 70.3) 1114 A Coastal Car. ( 3- 5, 79.1) 1119 A La. Tech ( 7- 2, 85.9) 1128 H Troy ( 4- 4, 77.7)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
905 A Memphis 24-35 -11 -10 -0.59
919 A TCU 7-31 -24 -11 - -3.99
926 H Kennesaw St 17-14 3 3 -0.14
1003 A Louisiana 20-23 -3 -7 ++ 4.19
1008 H So. Alabama 49-56 -7 3 --- -9.58
1017 A So. Miss 23-13 10 1 +++ 8.73
1024 H Georgia St 38-32 6 3 + 2.60
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1008 H So. Alabama 49-56 -7 3 --- -9.58 919 A TCU 7-31 -24 -11 - -3.99 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1017 A So. Miss 23-13 10 1 +++ 8.73 1003 A Louisiana 20-23 -3 -7 ++ 4.19 1024 H Georgia St 38-32 6 3 + 2.60 |
Arkansas St Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col | Boston Col | Boston Col | ||
| California | Arkansas St | Arkansas St | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida St | Florida St | Florida St | ||
| Georgia Tech | Arkansas St | Arkansas St | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| No. Carolina | No. Carolina | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | No. Carolina | |
| NC State | NC State | NC State | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| SMU | SMU | SMU | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | ||
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Va. Tech | Va. Tech | Va. Tech | ||
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | Wake Forest | ||
| Army | Army | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Army | |
| Charlotte | Arkansas St | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Arkansas St | |
| Ea. Carolina | Arkansas St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arkansas St | |
| Fl. Atlantic | Fl. Atlantic | Fl. Atlantic | ||
| Memphis | Memphis | Memphis | ||
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| No. Texas | No. Texas | No. Texas | ||
| Rice | Arkansas St | Arkansas St | ||
| So. Florida | So. Florida | So. Florida | ||
| Temple | Arkansas St | Arkansas St | ||
| Tulane | Tulane | Tulane 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Tulsa | Tulsa | Tulsa | ||
| UAB | Arkansas St | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Arkansas St | |
| UTSA | UTSA | UTSA | ||
| Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | ||
| Arizona St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| BYU | BYU | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | BYU | |
| Baylor | Baylor | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Baylor | |
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado | ||
| Houston | Houston | Houston | ||
| Iowa State | Iowa State | Iowa State | ||
| Kansas | Arkansas St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arkansas St | |
| Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St | ||
| Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | ||
| TCU | TCU | TCU | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech | ||
| UCF | UCF | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | UCF | |
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| We. Virginia | We. Virginia | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | We. Virginia | |
| Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Michigan St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota | ||
| Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Purdue | Purdue | Purdue | ||
| Rutgers | Arkansas St | Arkansas St | ||
| UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | ||
| USC | USC | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | USC | |
| Washington | Washington | Washington | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin | ||
| Florida Int | Florida Int | Florida Int | ||
| J'ville St | J'ville St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | J'ville St | |
| Kennesaw St | Arkansas St | Arkansas St | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Liberty | |
| La. Tech | La. Tech | La. Tech 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Mid. Tenn. | Mid. Tenn. | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mid. Tenn. | |
| N. Mexico St | Arkansas St | Arkansas St | ||
| Sam Houston | Arkansas St | Arkansas St | ||
| UTEP | Arkansas St | Arkansas St | ||
| We. Kentucky | Arkansas St | Arkansas St | ||
| Mass. | Arkansas St | Arkansas St | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| UConn | UConn | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | UConn | |
| Akron | Arkansas St | Arkansas St | ||
| Ball State | Arkansas St | Arkansas St | ||
| Bowl'g Green | Arkansas St | Arkansas St | ||
| Buffalo | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Ce. Michigan | Arkansas St | Arkansas St | ||
| Ea. Michigan | Arkansas St | Arkansas St | ||
| Kent St | Arkansas St | Arkansas St | ||
| Miami (OH) | Arkansas St | Arkansas St | ||
| No. Illinois | Arkansas St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Arkansas St | |
| Ohio | Ohio | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ohio | |
| Toledo | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| We. Michigan | We. Michigan | We. Michigan | ||
| Air Force | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Boise St | Boise St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Boise St | |
| Colorado St | Arkansas St | Arkansas St | ||
| Fresno St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Hawai'i | Arkansas St | Arkansas St | ||
| Nevada | Nevada | Nevada | ||
| New Mexico | New Mexico | New Mexico | ||
| San Diego St | Arkansas St | Arkansas St | ||
| San Jose St | Arkansas St | Arkansas St | ||
| UNLV | UNLV | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UNLV | |
| Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | ||
| Wyoming | Wyoming | Wyoming | ||
| Oregon St | Oregon St | Oregon St | ||
| Wash. St | Arkansas St | Arkansas St | ||
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | ||
| Auburn | Auburn | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Auburn | |
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Kentucky | |
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss. St | Miss. St | Miss. St | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| So. Carolina | So. Carolina | So. Carolina | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Tennessee | |
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | ||
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | ||
| App State | App State | App State | ||
| Coastal Car. | Arkansas St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arkansas St | |
| Georgia So. | Georgia So. | Georgia So. | ||
| Georgia St | Arkansas St | Arkansas St | ||
| J. Madison | J. Madison | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | J. Madison | |
| Louisiana | Louisiana | Louisiana | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Marshall | |
| Old Dominion | Arkansas St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Arkansas St | |
| So. Miss | Arkansas St | Arkansas St | ||
| So. Alabama | So. Alabama | So. Alabama | ||
| Texas St. | Texas St. | Texas St. | ||
| Troy | Arkansas St | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Arkansas St | |
| UL Monroe | Arkansas St | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Arkansas St | |
| Delaware | Delaware | Delaware | ||
| Missouri St | Arkansas St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arkansas St |
PowerWise = 35
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 8.15
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
1 A Memphis ( 7- 2, 86.7) 24-35 -13.17 20.07 3.20 1.16 -5.81
1 A TCU ( 4- 4, 87.3) 7-31 -12.58 20.66 3.20 1.16 -5.46
1 H Kennesaw St ( 2- 6, 79.6) 17-14 -20.33 12.91 -3.20 1.16 22.61
1 A Louisiana ( 5- 4, 83.5) 20-23 -16.39 16.85 3.20 1.16 -7.68
1 H So. Alabama ( 4- 4, 80.1) 49-56 -19.77 13.47 -3.20 1.16 -13.37
1 A So. Miss ( 3- 5, 75.0) 23-13 -24.85 8.39 3.20 1.16 26.97
1 H Georgia St ( 4- 4, 79.3) 38-32 -20.59 12.65 -3.20 1.16 22.01
------
39.26
|
winning pts = 71.5785 losing points = -32.3141
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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